GCC banks enter the second half of the decade with aggregate capital ratios comfortably above every supervisory floor in the region — but the dispersion beneath the headline is significant, and the Strait of Hormuz remains the fulcrum of unpriced risk.
Several banking sectors hold fortress CET1 positions north of 16%, while others operate with single-digit headroom above regulatory minimums and leverage ratios that leave limited room for error. Profitability remains structurally sound, with sector ROE averaging above 13%, though margin compression is emerging as the rate cycle turns and cost-to-income ratios diverge by as much as 15 percentage points across markets. Liquidity coverage is broadly adequate, yet structural funding gaps persist — select issuers report NSFR below the 100% regulatory floor, and securities encumbrance ratios exceeding 70% in one market constrain collateral capacity at precisely the moment it may be needed most. On asset quality, reported NPL ratios remain benign, but Stage 2 concentrations of 20–26% at certain names signal watchlist migration risk that has not yet surfaced in headline impairment charges. The forty issuers below each carry a different answer to these questions.